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Greater Toronto Area

Industrial Market Report

First Quarter 2022

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) industrial market remains a hotbed of activity, as strong momentum from 2021 carried forward into the first quarter of 2022, led by high demand and limited supply.

New building completions during the quarter did not influence the availability rate, as 91% of the new space was leased prior to completion. Current market conditions favour landlords, and rental rates continue to rise rapidly. With 66 million square feet (msf) in the development pipeline for the next three years (under construction and pre-construction), rising availability will likely provide more space options to a broader spectrum of industrial tenants compared with today’s constrained supply environment. GTA-wide, the availability rate stabilized at 0.9% (unchanged quarter-over-quarter) – this on the heels of a steady decline from a high of 7.1% in first-quarter 2010. Leasing demand over the past five quarters for spaces 10,000 square feet (sf) or greater has been dominated by logistics and distribution (31%), manufacturing (20%) and retail/e-commerce (18%) tenants. The majority of investor demand for spaces 10,000-sf and greater during the same time frame was driven by private investors (57%), followed by institutional investors (20%) and users (17%).

Rental rates have grown by 16% quarter-over-quarter, 94% in the past three years, and 104% in the past five years. Low availability rates have offset the high land values and construction costs evident in today’s market. Given the supply-demand imbalance, the consensus is for continued growth across the GTA industrial market for the foreseeable future.

During the quarter, 11 buildings totaling 1.8 msf were delivered. At quarter-end, 16 msf was under construction across 76 buildings, of which 48% had already been leased. Buildings under construction equate to a mere 1.8% of the GTA’s existing industrial stock, split between design-build (33%) and speculative (67%) developments. Pre-construction developments total 51 msf in 145 buildings across the GTA. The GTA West market leads the way with 63% of pre-construction opportunities, followed by 20% in the North, 9% in Central and the East market with 8%.

Quick Stats

0.9%

Availability rate in the Greater Toronto Area

$13.65 psf

Average asking net rental rate in the Greater Toronto Area

14

Properties in the Greater Toronto Area with more than 250,000 sf available

16 msf

GTA-wide industrial space under construction – up 2 msf during the quarter

16%

Quarter-over-quarter growth in asking net rental rates in the Greater Toronto Area

Submarket Overview

Click on the icons for an overview of each submarket.

For more market information

Warren D'Souza Research Manager,

Suburban Markets warren.dsouza@avisonyoung.com +1 905.283.2331

Charles Torzsok Senior Research Analyst,

GTA Suburban Markets charles.torzsok@avisonyoung.com +1 905.968.8023

Steven Preston Research Manager, Downtown Toronto steven.preston@avisonyoung.com +1 416.673.4010

Charlotte Ishoj

Research & Administration Coordinator charlotte.ishoj@avisonyoung.com +1 647.252.4099

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